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September 16, 2008

Ike was awful, but it could have been worse

Posted: 04:08 PM ET

Ike roared through Texas, making landfall at the high end of Category Two on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

Less than 24 hours earlier, forecasters thought it might come in as a Cat Four storm.

The highest measurements of Ike's storm surge topped out at about 15 feet (although some un-measured areas may have been higher). Forecasters warned it might be twice that in some areas.

Most of the homes in the first photo are gone, in this image taken after Ike departed.

Most of the homes in the first photo are gone, in this image taken after Ike departed.

A USGS photo of homes on the Bolivar Peninsula, taken four days before Ike's arrival.

A USGS photo of homes on the Bolivar Peninsula, taken four days before Ike

And a much-discussed National Weather Service bulletin, issued from Houston a day before landfall, warned of "certain death" for those who failed to evacuate the most vulnerable areas. While the death toll may rise as recovery teams move through the devastated beach towns, it's still surprisingly low given what could have been.

It's small comfort to those who have lost loved ones, or homes, or those who may not see their power turned back on for a month - and those whose lives may never be the same again. But like Katrina - which was a Category Three storm that missed a direct hit on New Orleans - Ike could have been a lot worse.

Either way, we're a little over halfway through the Atlantic hurricane season. Let's hope Ike is the worst we see all year.

–Peter Dykstra Executive Producer CNN Science, Tech, & Weather

Filed under: hurricanes


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S Callahan   September 16th, 2008 5:38 pm ET

That's the right way to view this storm...it could have been worst.
Most Texans are now in a Thankful mode for what they do have to be grateful for. Possessions are just that..objects..but relationships are lifelong. Those pictures sure sum up the level of change placed upon that community and my prayers go out to all the Texans, and those in Louisianna as well. The Weather Service did a wonderful job in trying to keep people up to date on the event.


Keith Wilson   September 16th, 2008 6:52 pm ET

It is sad to find out that over 150 Canadian telecommunication Lineman are staged to take contracts from American Lineman in Houston. I don't believe that the US would allow our tax dollars to be paid to companies outside the country with our economy in the trouble it is in. I hope our Government understands that these companies don't care about the quality of their work, only the money they can take away from the US.


Patricia Poncik   September 16th, 2008 10:32 pm ET

Houston is the 4th largest city in this country and is without power to over one million people 4 days after the storm. Long gas lines, long lines for ice and water, people unable to go to work because there is no power at their workplace (which means lost paychecks), and the only thing the national news seems to focus on is the coastal area. I live near the coast and we know we take a chance of losing our homes in a hurricane and enduring hardships, but Houstonians don't expect that. It is a massive problem for the city government and they are doing a good job but it is still very difficult for the people. How about covering Houston's problems too?
Patricia Poncik


E.Kervina   September 16th, 2008 10:35 pm ET

I have to disagree with Keith Wilson. The aid we are getting from our Canadian friends is not hurting the U.S. at all. Our responders and repair people are swamped with work. There is too much to do, and not enough people to do it. Any help we can get is great.
When severe weather significantly damages Canadian infrastructure, we send American workers to help them.
It isn't about taking money away from the U.S., it is about being good neighbors and helping each other out during times of need.


bill johnson   September 16th, 2008 11:22 pm ET

Anderson Cooper
Day after IKE what was purpose of standing waist deep and reporting
for an hour-worst i have ever seen you.


CB_Brooklyn   September 17th, 2008 12:10 am ET

Not many know that a major hurricane – Hurricane Erin – was in the Atlantic Ocean in September of 2001. In fact, Erin was closest to NYC, and at its largest size, on 9/11 itself. Interestingly, the National Hurricane Center projected Erin to be stronger than it projected Katrina to be four years later. Shouldn’t they have prepared the upper-east coast for this major storm? Weather reports at JFK Airport indicated rain! The day after 9/11, Erin made a sharp right-hand turn (over 90°) away from NYC and back out to the Atlantic. An astronaut in the International Space Station commented on the WTC smoke plume, but made no mention of the monstrous hurricane next to it. How come? Those interested in learning the secret between hurricanes and Tesla Coils should see Dr Judy Wood’s new paper "9/11 Weather Anomalies and Field Effects". She presents evidence suggesting Erin was part of the mechanism used to turn the Twin Towers to dust. The paper is chock full of photos and analysis and is highly recommended...
http://drjudywood.com/articles/erin


S Callahan   September 17th, 2008 7:21 am ET

Interesting. What came out of her seminar on May 29th?
I lived on Long Island in one of their past hurricanes years back and it was pretty ugly. Lots of damage to homes. I'd be curious to hear more on Dr. Wood's view as rumors abound regarding manipulation of weather. As for the Twin Towers, it would be an outrage if it was learned this was humanly manipulated to occur...at this point I just can't wrap my brain around that happening.


teenager in school   September 17th, 2008 12:34 pm ET

hey everyone i am in keyboarding fun
well that is sad and i hope that everybody is ok out there i hope they are safe and sound


M Hill   September 17th, 2008 12:41 pm ET

I am a native Houstonian. I live here and can tell you that many places in Harris County, where Houston is located, are like war zones. Almost every single new agency, esp. CNN, seem more concerned with the stock market and AIG. I CANNOT believe that with over 5 million people in THIS country going through such a terrible time, almost none of my fellow Americans have any idea about how bad it is in the Houston Metro area which includes Galveston. I am appalled that our area has been treated like this is a non-event – and to say that any tragedy could have been worse is moronic! Of course it could be worse but it IS bad. I feel like the national media is treating our area like the "Red Headed Stepchild" of the USA right now – very disappointing.


Mike (Houston)   September 17th, 2008 1:06 pm ET

Friday evening through midday Saturday was very scarry. We had two very large trees crash into our house.
One thing that has impressed me is our Governor Rick Perry. I was never a big fan of his, but he has shown true leadership. He has been out there in the trenches taking command of the situation. Leasership that was severely lacking during Katrina. I am Very proud of Governer Rick Perry


Get real   September 17th, 2008 4:01 pm ET

Ike was a run-of-the-mill cat 2 storm and really didn't do that much damage to critical infrastructure. Look at the photos in this article. See what was destroyed? Cheaper homes that do not meet modern hurricane codes. Texas will be hit by another big one (cat 4 or 5) one day. Then folks there will know just how bad it can be. I know; I've been in two of them and they mad the cat 2 storm I've been in look like a rainy day.


Tom - Cary, NC   September 17th, 2008 5:00 pm ET

At the risk of sounding harsh, the picture above shows impact on a) homes built on a barrier island (read 'sand bar with grass') and b) beach front property that, if priced anything like the stuff in North Carolina, is way beyond most people's means (rich vacation home). They never should have built there, and, I hope, no taxpayer dollars are bailing them out.....


James   September 17th, 2008 8:41 pm ET

Hi, I found your blog on this new directory of WordPress Blogs at blackhatbootcamp.com/listofwordpressblogs. I dont know how your blog came up, must have been a typo, i duno. Anyways, I just clicked it and here I am. Your blog looks good. Have a nice day. James.


CB_Brooklyn   September 18th, 2008 1:45 am ET

MEDIA BLACKOUT ON WEST SIDE OF GALVESTON
http://fourwinds10.com/siterun_data/media/mainstream_media/news.php?q=1221668059


ktarr   September 18th, 2008 2:22 am ET

Are you sure Ike wasn't worse? How come I can't find any more in depth coverage on CNN. I am taking this site with a grain of salt but you I'd love to see a credible source like CNN address some of the claims:
http://blessingsblessings.newsvine.com/_news/2008/09/17/1875291-galveston-coverup-you-decide


Eugenia-San Francisco, Ca   September 18th, 2008 10:17 am ET

Very surprised by CB_Brooklyn comments and that they were posted. There are alot of people out there that think our weather and earthquakes are being altered by humans. I will have to check on the track of Hurricane Erin, I didn't realize New York had a hurricane so close recently. When I see pictures of New York is scares me, I can't even handle driving through the business district of San Francisco!


Eugenia-San Francisco, Ca   September 18th, 2008 11:05 am ET

Hurricane Erin was so far from the coast line, for you CB_Brooklyn to even state that the space station made no mention of it really pisses me off. Do you think that the events and tragedies that occured on that day can be put into some conspiracy theory? The History Channel ran a detailed video of that day, I have never really watched footage of that day. YOU DISGRACE THE MEN & WOMEN WHO DIED THAT DAY!


smitisan   September 18th, 2008 12:17 pm ET

I'd like to hear some more about the damage to oil platforms and pipelines in the gulf during Ike. There was one brief mention of lots of oil coming in with the surge, and that was the last I heard about it. Is this being shoved under the rug in the push for more drilling closer to the coasts?


S Callahan   September 18th, 2008 12:24 pm ET

M.Hill: I can attest that the Nation is very well aware of what is going on in Houston , Galveston, and other affected areaa. Being from the North East our media , and various faith and volnunteer organizations, pounding out the need to donate money and items for the Texans affected by Ike. Please know our country is not ignoring you (Texans) of what happen and what is going on now. Our prayers are with you.


Terry in Fla   September 18th, 2008 12:24 pm ET

M Hill, I'm sorry but your city is not the first and it won't be the last to see major hurricane damage while the rest of the country has no idea. In 2005, the South Florida area got hit by Cat 2 Wilma and even people in other parts of Florida had no idea! Basically you need to realize that there are always other tragedies going on in the country and all you can do is suck it up and help yourself.


mark   September 18th, 2008 1:13 pm ET

I can't believe anyone with half a brain would build a house on such a spit of land in hurricane country. Why didn't they just paint a bullseye on the side of their house? Little wonder that insurance rates for just about everything are increasing at a ridiculous rate nationwide. What were these people thinking?


Franko   September 18th, 2008 2:48 pm ET

Hurricanes have cooled the ocean, via T^4 atmospheric violence, for a while
Another big heat buildup, coming, before end of this hurricane season ?
Lull before the next big storm ?


CB_Brooklyn   September 18th, 2008 3:49 pm ET

Eugenia-San Francisco, Ca – The following picture shows just how close Hurricane Erin was to New York on September 11, 2001:

How were they so sure Erin would make a sharp right hand turn away from New York and head back out to sea? Erin was a controlled environment. It was steered towards to NYC before 9/11 and away from NYC after 9/11.

Dr Judy Wood discovered many similarities between hurricanes/tornadoes and Tesla Coils. See her paper to learn how Erin was part of the mechanism used to turn the Twin Towers to dust:
http://www.drjudywood.com/articles/erin/

HAARP (in Alaska) is being used as a weapon. Did you know that Alaskan magnetometers went bonkers with every 9/11 event, including the plane-shaped holes appearing in the towers? How on earth could a plane crash in NY cause a magnetic shift in the earth 4000+ miles away in Alaska? It can't. Those plane-shaped holes were created by HAARP. See the data compiled by Dr Wood here:
http://www.drjudywood.com/articles/erin/erin5.html

Google weather modification to learn what's going on.


CB_Brooklyn   September 18th, 2008 3:52 pm ET

Eugenia-San Francisco, Ca – The pictures on Dr Wood's site (linked in my first comment) shows just how close Hurricane Erin was to New York on September 11, 2001. It was VERY close.

How were they so sure Erin would make a sharp right hand turn away from New York and head back out to sea? Erin was a controlled environment. It was steered towards to NYC before 9/11 and away from NYC after 9/11.

Dr Judy Wood discovered many similarities between hurricanes/tornadoes and Tesla Coils. See her paper to learn how Erin was part of the mechanism used to turn the Twin Towers to dust.

HAARP (in Alaska) is being used as a weapon. Did you know that Alaskan magnetometers went bonkers with every 9/11 event, including the plane-shaped holes appearing in the towers? How on earth could a plane crash in NY cause a magnetic shift in the earth 4000+ miles away in Alaska? It can't. Those plane-shaped holes were created by HAARP. See the data compiled by Dr Wood.

Google weather modification to learn what's going on.


CB_Brooklyn   September 18th, 2008 3:58 pm ET

See page 5 of Dr Wood's "9/11 Weather Anomalies and Field Effects" paper for the Alaskan magnetometer data. The paper is linked in the first comment I posted in this thread.

Were Hurricanes Ike, Gustav, Katrina, Rita, etc really natural? I'm sorry.


Franko   September 18th, 2008 5:03 pm ET

"Were Hurricanes Ike, Gustav, Katrina, Rita, etc really natural? I’m sorry"

These were all SuperNatural.
Man and Woman, driving Human Carbon Foolprint to the floor.
Above Nature We are, but need better cruise control.
Send warm North, so Ice Bears can enjoy hurricanes on sandy beaches


CB_Brooklyn   September 18th, 2008 10:55 pm ET

"Media Obstruction in Galveston
Press denied access in the wake of Hurricane Ike"

http://www.cjr.org/the_observatory/media_obstruction_in_galveston.php


Informed   September 19th, 2008 2:41 am ET

I am at a loss, it saddens me to my very being that we have such ignorant and gullible people in this country they refuse to believe facts and data. Instead they turn to rumor and half-truths. I seriously wonder if the citizens of this country have the ability to determine fact from fiction. CB_Brooklyn is just a sad example of what a hype and conspiracy driven society can become.


Silverlake   September 19th, 2008 4:27 am ET

Your absolutely right – it could have been dramatically worse and almost was. Ike was in the middle of an eye wall repalcement cycle with 2 distinct concentric eye walls when it came ashore near a low tide. Had it come in 4-6 hours later near high tide after the eye walls had combined and constricted into a very tight high velocity core it would have been an almost worst case scenario... the air pressure had already dropped to a level that indicated it would have been instead a very strong Cat 4 at landfall those few short hours later and the surge would have been close to predictions in the 25+ foot range. As it was, the damage was severe and the surge (Officially 15' but begining to look like 17-18' in some places) did come within 18 inches of toping both the dikes at both Texas City and Port Arthur... had those been topped tens of thousands of more homes would have been decimated in the same way Katrina drowned New Orleans with the same type of result since probably 20,000-25,000 people failed to evacuate those areas in spite of those warnings... very many would have drowned and the potential death toll could ahve exceeded Katrina's.


Ray Gedaly (aka Big Foot)   September 19th, 2008 11:01 am ET

Peter, thank you for your insightful article on Hurricane Ike.
I would like to respond to mark and other posters:

The communities on Bolivar Peninsula were over 50 years old. The citizens living there were good, unpretentious people. They had the same right to live on the Gulf Coast as other families who choose to live in Tornado Alley or along the San Andeas Fault.

Ike was a Century event. In the past 50 years, Bolivar survived much stronger hurricanes relatively intact. Insurance rates there reflect the ~1% annual risk of destruction.

After much research and investigation, in 2000 my wife and I purchased a beach cabin on Crystal Beach that had survived hurricanes Carla, Alicia, and Rita. The enjoyment my family shared these past eight years is ample compensation for my current loss.

Power has only just been restored to my primary residence north of Houston, so I'm currently busy with other matters. But I'll check back on this column soon, and will be happy to debate any responses like those from mark.


martha Keats   September 19th, 2008 11:17 am ET

The death toll is much higher than anyone currently imagines. All those who stayed behind, estimated at 6,000 on Bolivar Peninsula alone from what I've read, and did not survive, are either washed out to sea or buried among the enormous piles of debris.


Big Foot (aka Ray G.)   September 19th, 2008 11:17 am ET

Specifically to mark and other dinosaurs: I can't believe that anyone with half a brain would build a house on a planet in asteroid land. Why not paint a bull's eye on your house for the next meteor heading this way.


Big Foot (aka Ray G.)   September 19th, 2008 11:49 am ET

CB_Brooklyn ... What was your horoscope for 9/11/2001? Also, I've got a great little bridge across Rollover Pass (on Bolivar Peninsula) you might want to buy.


Ray Gedaly   September 19th, 2008 12:50 pm ET

Peter et al ... I'm curious why my sarcastic remarks get posted while my more serious comments do not. My beach home was just east of the image posted for this article. I'll repeat here some of my previous comments:
1. Hurricane Ike was a Century event. Communities on Bolivar Peninsula survived a number of stronger storms over the last 50 years including Hurricanes Carla, Alicia, and Rita.
1. The risk of destruction to a home on Bolivar is ~1% per year. Insurance premiums are based on this risk.
2. People build houses in Tornado Alley and along the San Andreas Fault as well. Significant parts of the country are at risk for forest fires. Both the East and West Coasts are vulnerable to a Tsunami. The Northwest has volcanoes. Asteroids have struck in the past and will do so in the future. Why build anywhere?
3. I carefully investigated and researched before buying a beach cabin. The enjoyment I received from family vacations over the years is ample compensation for my current loss.

Ray Gedaly


Not a Texan   September 19th, 2008 2:38 pm ET

The folks in Galveston and Houston know they are in Hurricane territory, yet they buried their heads in the sand. Little to no preparations. Not stocking up on dry foods and drinking water. Not putting in the right wind resistant windows. Not requiring that gas stations have generator backups. And the worst–allowing development right along the water’s edge. This isn’t the first time Texas has been hit by a major hurricane. Yet this is a repeat story about the stupidity of people, procrastination, lack of planning, and folks burying their heads in the sand.


Michael B   September 19th, 2008 3:46 pm ET

I live in Houston. Almost all of the national news coverage appears to be focused on the coast or one office building downtown, which I can see from my office and although it does look bad it is not the story. As of yesterday 61% of Houstonions are still without power, that's well over 2 million people in a condensed area but with some parts more than 15 miles from downtown. With all the tree/power line damage it will be weeks before many areas have any power. But authorities have done amazingly well. Gas stations are getting refueled, POD sites around town are handing out supplies, and repairs are going slowly but surely. This is the most expensive hurricane in American history and it's being handled so well its not even a top news story 5 days later. The story should be: how did Houston do it?


Ray Gedaly   September 19th, 2008 7:00 pm ET

First, apologies to SciTechBlog. All of my comments to date have posted.

Second, to "Not a Texan," please stay that way! It's you who has his head buried in the sand. Houstonians and Galvestonians live with hurricanes and most keep provisions readily on hand. In my neighborhood, the sounds of generators were evident everywhere. New coastal construction has strict requirements, including wind resistant windows, which protect against all but the worst of storms.

Do you drive a car? After all, you must be aware that anytime you're in a car there's a risk of accident. So does that make you stupid?

I haven't researched the odds, but I suspect that the percentage of cars damaged each year is larger than the percentage of beach homes that are damaged each year. That's probably why I pay an auto insurance premium equal to 4% of my car's value, but a home owners insurance premium equal to about 1% of the value of my beach house.


Big Foot (aka Ray G.)   September 19th, 2008 7:23 pm ET

CB_Brookland, I just wasted my time to check out your link. Never made it to the article on Galveston though. The other bigoted, racist headlines caught my attention first.

Hate to disappoint you, CB, but I doubt your alien friends would really dress in white hoods and share the views of Hitler. So why not forget them and join the rest of us in the 21st century.


Big Foot (aka Ray G.)   September 19th, 2008 7:38 pm ET

Update. Went back to CB_Brooklyn's link and read the blog posts there. It's hilarious; even the other conspiracy believers on that site are calling CB a nutcase.

By the way, CB, why would the folks who you say control and censor the media allow your comments to air?


CB_Brooklyn   September 19th, 2008 8:54 pm ET

We live in a truly sad era where people need to resort to childish rantings instead of analysis. Many comments above are a clear example of the brainwashed culture we live in. Brainwashed people, stupid people, and hysterical people have not refuted any of the DATA presented in my links, but instead ramble on like hysterical lunatics. A clear example of the thinking process they possess.


CB_Brooklyn   September 19th, 2008 9:03 pm ET

By the way, CB, why would the folks who you say control and censor the media allow your comments to air?
===========================

My comments, nor Drs Wood's/Reynolds' directed energy weapon / no plane 9/11 court cases with attorney Jerry Leaphart, have not been on CNN's front page. They have not been made a point of.

The magnetometer data from Alaska that PROVES 9/11 involved HAARP was not on CNN's front page.

As long as the media is filled with people who rant and rave like lunatics using terms like "wacky conspiracy theory" instead of reporting factual scientific information and analysis, the world will remain in its zombie-like state of mind, not knowing what's going on.


CB_Brooklyn   September 19th, 2008 10:14 pm ET

==Directed Energy Weapons at the WTC==

Dr Judy Wood on 1010 CFRB TORONTO right now!

September 19, 2008

10PM EDT

Listen online:

http://www.drjudywood.com/#news


Ray Gedaly   September 20th, 2008 12:48 am ET

Readers, please feel free to follow CB's links and make your own judgements. While there, I suggest you read the postings from other fringe folks who think CB makes them all look foolish. Also note some of the other articles which reek of religious bigotry and Nazism.

I stand by my earlier hypothesis: "The aliens' anal probes must have damaged CB's brain."


Ray Gedaly   September 20th, 2008 2:00 am ET

CB ... I may have to become a believer. One of the last shows I watched before losing power due to Hurricane Ike was a repeat of a recent MythBusters episode on antigravity, Tesla, and the Hutchinson effect. It's all just too coincidental. Must be a result of the Collective Consciousness.

But I've pretty much hit a dead end trying to find where Judy Wood worked as a professor. Also having trouble finding evidence (outside your conspiracy websites) of University of Alaska scientists reporting magnetic anomalies on 9/11. Not yet saying it's all a hoax, but I'm getting tired and it's way past my bedtime. If only the Collective Consciousness would grant me the strength to stay awake.

Hey SciTechBlog, why don't you interview Judy Wood and do an article on all this.🙂


Ray Gedaly   September 20th, 2008 2:17 am ET

9/11, magnetic anomalies, group consciousness, military control of hurricanes. I just know Bigfoot must be lurking nearby as well.🙂


Franko   September 20th, 2008 12:00 pm ET

"Gamma Rays from Lightning"
Has Judy Wood seen black holes caused by hurricane lightning ?


Ray Gedaly   September 20th, 2008 1:34 pm ET

"Brainwashed ... stupid ... hysterical lunatic." CB, have you been reading my MySpace profile?


Franko   September 20th, 2008 3:13 pm ET

"trying to find where Judy Wood worked as a professor"
Escaped NSA operatiwe, under the cower, Sex slawe of the Illuminati
She knows the secrets behind 9/11 and the weather black hole makers.


CB_Brooklyn   September 20th, 2008 4:17 pm ET

Ray Gedaly,

Dr Judy Wood was an assistant professor of mechanical Engineering at Clemson University. See her bio page linked under her picture on her site.

Dr Wood compiled the Alaskan magnetometer data from the Alaskan magnetometer data site on alaska.edu, not from other scientists. Dr Wood is the original source of those graphs on page 5 of her Erin paper.

There's an MP3 of Dr Wood's Sept 19 Toronto interview on her site. Click in the flashing "news" link at the top.

Hey, if you can persuade CNN to interview Dr Wood, I'm sure she'll be appreciative!


Franko   September 20th, 2008 6:15 pm ET

Svali the Illuminati defector, can confirm Dr. Judy Wood was a sex slawe ?
Or just a talk show host, thinking of a girl walking by, got things mixed up

The two should get together, compare experiences, illuminate dark Illuminati


Ray Gedaly   September 20th, 2008 6:16 pm ET

CB, we're way off topic of the original CNN article. Let's agree to debate Roswell Aliens, Faked Moon Landings, and 9/11 Conspiracy Theories another time.


Franko   September 20th, 2008 8:20 pm ET

Heard it on the radio talk show mp3 link.
Part of introduction or my imagination ?
Will listen again, to confirm.


Franko   September 20th, 2008 8:52 pm ET

Got the "strawman" of the loonitic fringe, Judy Wood, mixed up with the
Illuminaty sex slawe, coming up on the Sept. 25 talkshow
[audio src="http://drjudywood.com/media/080919_RichardSyrett_JWood.mp3" /]

My apologies to July Wood for confusing the sexuality of another with a strawman
Sexist Pig talkshow host should hawe referred to her as a Straw Woman ?


Mark Pedersen   September 25th, 2008 10:34 am ET

I think Keith Wilson's Sept 16th issue with Canadian linemen helping out in Galveston is a typical premadonna Lineman whine. If U.S. linemen didn't want double and a half overtime and every other benefit their pathetic overcompensated butts can squeeze out of this, they wouldn't be overlooked for other more cost effective solutions. Try being a little more philanthropic and donating your time or going in on straight time. Or just file a grievance with your union rep as a typical lineman would


Franko   September 26th, 2008 4:43 am ET

B.C. (small population part of Canada) wants 30,000 workers from India

USA has highest pay, attracting all, even Mexican fruit pickers

http://www.asianpacificpost.com/portal2/402881910674ebab010674f524d41869.do.html


johnell deloach   September 27th, 2008 9:37 pm ET

i think that it ia crazy that the people new and did not do nothing at all . that is like the bombing they about that before it even happened but didn't do nothing about it


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