September 6, 2008 Hanna/Ike, 11am Sunday UpdatePosted: 12:22 PM ET
Here's the 11am Sunday update, based on the National Hurricane Center's forecast and info from CNN's meteorologists;
IKE: Category Four, major storm, Max Sustained Winds 135 MPH, forward speed 13 mph. Ike is tearing through the Turks and Caicos and extreme southern Bahamas, with some potentially catastrophic collateral damage to Haiti from heavy rain, floods, and mudslides.
The storm is now expected to track the length of Cuba, including mountainous areas, that could really deflate the storm. But after exiting Cuba, Ike will re-intensify, and is expected to recover to Cat Three strength. All of the forecast models are within about fifty miles of each other for Ike's path across Cuba.
The lower Florida Keys could see some impact from the storm on Tuesday, but are pretty much out of danger from a direct hit. The forecast models are a bit scattered on an ultimate US landfall, ranging from Galveston Bay/Houston to the west and Mobile Bay to the east. Earliest possible landfall, if the storm takes the shortest path and stays east, would be Thursday. Friday or Saturday is more likely, but as always, this is way too far out to make more than a guess for Ike's destination, arrival time, and intensity at landfall.
Hanna is offshore, likely to impact Nova Scotia and Newfoundland today, and tracking to cross the ocean and possibly cause a bit of grief in Scotland/Northern Europe later this week, but its US impacts are done.
Josephine is off the maps completely, now a mid-Atlantic disturbance posing no threat to land.
Peter Dykstra Esecutive Producer, CNN Science, Tech, & Weather
Filed under: environment Flooding hurricanes meteorology Oceans Severe weather Weather
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